Hatayspor 0-3 Bandırmaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2025

Hatayspor
0-3 HT 0-1
Bandırmaspor
📅28/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Hatayspor vs Bandırmaspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
44%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.38
2-3 Goals
42%
1.91
4-5 Goals
22%
2.99
6+ Goals
10%
8.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.0
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
23.4
1/X
6%
12.7
X/1
16%
6.34
X/2
12%
5.52
X/X
9%
5.35
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
25%
3.23
2/X
7%
12.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.4 — our 7% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-0.4pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.9pp
44%
Away Win
40%
+3.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.1pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hatayspor v Bandırmaspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hatayspor EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Bandırmaspor EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -17%
0.89/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.12
-1% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 80%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
12.2 Crosses 16.5
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.5

Hatayspor vs Bandırmaspor Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hatayspor
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Bandırmaspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
The Meetings
13.12.2015 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor S2-B
07.12.2014 Hatayspor Hatayspor 3-3 HT 1-3 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor S2-K
24.02.2013 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor S2-K
06.10.2012 Hatayspor Hatayspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor S2-K

Hatayspor 0-3 Bandırmaspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hatayspor
0-3
AWAY Bandırmaspor
0.73 xG 1.23
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
494 Passes 250
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hatayspor vs Bandırmaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bandırmaspor swept aside Hatayspor 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bandırmaspor as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Hatayspor had 64% of the ball to Bandırmaspor's 36%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 0.73 to 1.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bandırmaspor led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hatayspor and 1.50 for Bandırmaspor.

What was the final score of Hatayspor vs Bandırmaspor?

Hatayspor 0-3 Bandırmaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hatayspor vs Bandırmaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bandırmaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hatayspor 34%, draw 22%, Bandırmaspor 44%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bandırmaspor), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bandırmaspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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