Manisa FK 0-4 Bodrum FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2025

Manisa FK
0-4 HT 0-1
Bodrum FK
📅28/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Manisa FK vs Bodrum FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.32
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
52%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.37
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.58
6+ Goals
10%
14.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 31% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.73
1/2
6%
23.85
1/X
5%
14.35
X/1
6%
7.56
X/2 EV+ ✗
26%
4.56
X/X
13%
4.83
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.64
2/X
5%
13.45
Value flag · X/2 at 4.56 — our 26% vs market 17.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
26%
-1.9pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.6pp
53%
Away Win
48%
+4.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Manisa FK v Bodrum FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manisa FK EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Bodrum FK EU Bookmakers 52%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.35/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.84
+15% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
319 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
12.9 Crosses 16.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.7

Manisa FK vs Bodrum FK Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manisa FK
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Bodrum FK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
0.77 xG 0.93
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
312 Passes 223
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
14 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.04.2024 Manisa FK Manisa FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK T1L
05.11.2023 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK 2-0 HT 1-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
08.03.2023 Manisa FK Manisa FK 2-1 HT 0-1 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK T1L
18.09.2022 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK 1-1 HT 1-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
27.11.2016 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK 2-2 HT 2-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK S3-2

Manisa FK 0-4 Bodrum FK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manisa FK
0-4
AWAY Bodrum FK
0.77 xG 2.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 1
352 Passes 297
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 34
23 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Manisa FK vs Bodrum FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bodrum FK swept aside Manisa FK 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bodrum FK as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Manisa FK had 54% of the ball to Bodrum FK's 46%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 0.77 to 2.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bodrum FK led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Manisa FK and 1.40 for Bodrum FK.

What was the final score of Manisa FK vs Bodrum FK?

Manisa FK 0-4 Bodrum FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manisa FK vs Bodrum FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bodrum FK win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Manisa FK 25%, draw 23%, Bodrum FK 53%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bodrum FK), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bodrum FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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