İstanbulspor 1-1 Boluspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2025

İstanbulspor
1-1 HT 1-0
Boluspor
📅28/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2025/2026

İstanbulspor vs Boluspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.72
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.31
6+ Goals
11%
11.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.29
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
5%
13.1
X/1
16%
5.29
X/2
14%
6.12
X/X
11%
5.05
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
24.7
2/2
13%
4.1
2/X
10%
13.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.7 — our 9% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
-0.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.2pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İstanbulspor v Boluspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Boluspor EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +4%
1.51/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.31
+32% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
17.1 Crosses 16.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4

İstanbulspor vs Boluspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İstanbulspor
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Boluspor
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.34 xG 1.39
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
374 Passes 294
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.05.2025 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 1-2 HT 0-0 Boluspor Boluspor TP1L
10.03.2025 Boluspor Boluspor 1-0 HT 1-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
27.10.2024 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 1-2 HT 1-2 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
16.02.2022 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 1-2 HT 0-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
20.09.2021 Boluspor Boluspor 1-1 HT 0-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
01.05.2021 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L

İstanbulspor 1-1 Boluspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İstanbulspor
1-1
AWAY Boluspor
1.21 xG 1.09
32% Ball Possession 68%
6 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 9
164 Passes 446
67% Pass Accuracy 85%
9 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 35
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH İstanbulspor vs Boluspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İstanbulspor and Boluspor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was İstanbulspor at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, İstanbulspor had 32% of the ball to Boluspor's 68%, shots finished 6-18, expected goals 1.21 to 1.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boluspor led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for İstanbulspor and 1.50 for Boluspor.

What was the final score of İstanbulspor vs Boluspor?

İstanbulspor 1-1 Boluspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İstanbulspor vs Boluspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a İstanbulspor win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split İstanbulspor 41%, draw 26%, Boluspor 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (İstanbulspor), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İstanbulspor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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