UCV 3-0 Rayo Zuliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.64
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
57%
-0.1pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.5pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.9pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UCV EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Zuliano EU Bookmakers 21%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
1.24/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.49
-21% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -24%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 74%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
21.9 Crosses 16.6
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UCV
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Rayo Zuliano
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
1.27 xG 0.73
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
205 Passes 269
67% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.04.2025 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 0-2 HT 0-1 UCV UCV VEN
27.09.2024 UCV UCV 1-0 HT 0-0 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano VEN
30.03.2024 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 2-2 HT 1-0 UCV UCV VEN
24.06.2023 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 0-0 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
20.05.2023 UCV UCV 2-0 HT 2-0 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UCV
3-0
AWAY Rayo Zuliano
1.51 xG 1.12
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
366 Passes 195
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UCV vs Rayo Zuliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCV swept aside Rayo Zuliano 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had UCV as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, UCV had 62% of the ball to Rayo Zuliano's 38%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 1.51 to 1.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, UCV had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for UCV and 0.40 for Rayo Zuliano.

What was the final score of UCV vs Rayo Zuliano?

UCV 3-0 Rayo Zuliano in the Venezuela - Premier League on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UCV vs Rayo Zuliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a UCV win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split UCV 57%, draw 20%, Rayo Zuliano 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UCV), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (UCV) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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