Academia Puerto Cabello 1-2 Estudiantes De Merida — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 28 Sep 2025

Academia Puerto Cabello
1-2 HT 1-1
Estudiantes De Merida
📅28/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Venezuela - Premier League – 2026

Academia Puerto Cabello vs Estudiantes De Merida Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
24%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
+0.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.5pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Academia Puerto Cabello v Estudiantes De Merida — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -16%
1.33/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.32
-16% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -23%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
328 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 76%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
18.4 Crosses 18.4
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.4

Academia Puerto Cabello vs Estudiantes De Merida Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.43 xG 1.18
52% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 Passes 251
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
19.04.2025 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-0 HT 1-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
08.08.2024 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 2-1 HT 0-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
18.02.2024 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 2-1 HT 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
30.09.2023 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 1-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
12.02.2023 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-3 HT 0-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
24.07.2022 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-3 HT 1-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN

Academia Puerto Cabello 1-2 Estudiantes De Merida — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
1-2
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida
1.54 xG 1.33
64% Ball Possession 36%
21 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 1
340 Passes 158
82% Pass Accuracy 65%
29 Box Touches 7
34 Crosses 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Academia Puerto Cabello vs Estudiantes De Merida
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes De Merida squeezed past Academia Puerto Cabello 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Academia Puerto Cabello at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Academia Puerto Cabello had 64% of the ball to Estudiantes De Merida's 36%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 1.54 to 1.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Academia Puerto Cabello had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Academia Puerto Cabello and 1.00 for Estudiantes De Merida.

What was the final score of Academia Puerto Cabello vs Estudiantes De Merida?

Academia Puerto Cabello 1-2 Estudiantes De Merida in the Venezuela - Premier League on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academia Puerto Cabello vs Estudiantes De Merida?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academia Puerto Cabello win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Academia Puerto Cabello 49%, draw 26%, Estudiantes De Merida 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
VEN More Venezuela - Premier League
28 Sep 2025
00:00 UCV vs Rayo Zuliano Analysis →
00:00 Zamora vs Academia Anzoátegui Analysis →
03:30 Metropolitanos vs Portuguesa FC Analysis →