Metropolitanos 5-1 Portuguesa FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+0.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.3pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.1pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metropolitanos EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Portuguesa FC EU Bookmakers 28%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
1.11/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.14
+4% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
316 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 74%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
26.0 Crosses 13.7
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metropolitanos
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Portuguesa FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.79 xG 1.20
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
261 Passes 289
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2025 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
14.09.2024 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 2-1 HT 1-1 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
20.03.2024 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 3-1 HT 1-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
24.06.2023 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 0-1 HT 0-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
21.05.2023 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
24.07.2022 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 0-0 HT 0-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metropolitanos
5-1
AWAY Portuguesa FC
2.34 xG 1.14
39% Ball Possession 61%
15 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
136 Passes 275
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 9
20 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Metropolitanos vs Portuguesa FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metropolitanos cruised past Portuguesa FC 5-1. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Metropolitanos as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Metropolitanos had 39% of the ball to Portuguesa FC's 61%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 2.34 to 1.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portuguesa FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Metropolitanos and 1.17 for Portuguesa FC.

What was the final score of Metropolitanos vs Portuguesa FC?

Metropolitanos 5-1 Portuguesa FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metropolitanos vs Portuguesa FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Metropolitanos win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Metropolitanos 49%, draw 25%, Portuguesa FC 26%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Metropolitanos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Metropolitanos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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