AEK Atina 1-0 Volos NFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
67%
1.33
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
15%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
2.1
Over
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.07
No
52%
1.67
Total Goals
0-1
23%
3.73
2-3
44%
1.79
4-5
24%
2.98
6+
9%
9.59
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.73 — our 23% vs market 20.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.55
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
20.65
X/1
19%
3.67
X/2
5%
17.2
X/X
9%
6.96
2/1
14%
23.0
2/2
6%
15.45
2/X
4%
24.3
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME AEK Atina The Market 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Volos NFC The Market 14%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
2.22 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.65
0.54 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.85
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Great Defensevs comparable teams Average
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
404 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 71%
35.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.2
25.5 Crosses 11.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AEK Atina
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Volos NFC
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.91 xG 0.69
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
446 Passes 183
86% Pass Accuracy 69%
34 Box Touches 8
21 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.01.2025 Volos NFC Volos NFC 2-4 HT 0-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
16.09.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 2-0 HT 1-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
03.01.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-0 HT 1-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
03.09.2023 Volos NFC Volos NFC 2-3 HT 1-2 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
23.07.2023 Volos NFC Volos NFC 0-3 AEK Atina AEK Atina HAZ
14.05.2023 AEK Atina AEK Atina 4-0 HT 2-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AEK Atina
1-0
AWAY Volos NFC
1.55 xG 0.14
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 1
413 Passes 296
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
28 Box Touches 4
25 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW AEK Atina vs Volos NFC
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

AEK Atina found just enough to beat Volos NFC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had AEK Atina as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 50% for over 2.5, 48% on both teams scoring. The market went further still — the over-2.5 price closed at 1.71, about 58%.

Under the surface, possession split 58% to 42% in AEK Atina's favour, shots finished 14-3, expected goals 1.55 to 0.14 — on chances created, AEK Atina won this by more than the scoreboard admits.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AEK Atina had the better of it with 6 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 3.17 a game for AEK Atina against 0.67 for Volos NFC.

AEK Atina vs Volos NFC Result & Final Score

AEK Atina 1-0 Volos NFC in the Greece - Super League on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

AEK Atina vs Volos NFC Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split AEK Atina 67%, draw 18%, Volos NFC 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AEK Atina), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AEK Atina) ✓ BTTS No
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