Panaitolikos 1-2 Panathinaikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.71
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
55%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.8
Over
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.0
No
56%
1.72
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
40%
4-5
20%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
21%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Panaitolikos The Market 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Panathinaikos The Market 62%
Strong Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
0.82 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.92
1.16 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.07
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Average
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Weak
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
220 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 82%
14.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.4
15.1 Crosses 19.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panaitolikos
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Panathinaikos
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.42 xG 2.29
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
226 Passes 494
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Box Touches 33
8 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2025 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-0 HT 1-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
24.11.2024 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 1-2 HT 0-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
07.01.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-1 HT 0-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
16.09.2023 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 0-5 HT 0-2 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
06.03.2023 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-0 HT 0-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
09.11.2022 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 0-1 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panaitolikos
1-2
AWAY Panathinaikos
1.02 xG 2.50
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
265 Passes 566
82% Pass Accuracy 88%
10 Box Touches 30
9 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Panaitolikos vs Panathinaikos
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Panathinaikos squeezed past Panaitolikos 2-1 on their travels. The 1-0 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Panathinaikos as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

The match data tells the story: Panathinaikos saw more of the ball, 66% to 34%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 1.02 to 2.50 — on chances created, Panathinaikos won this by more than the scoreboard admits.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panathinaikos led the recent series with 6 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.33 a game for Panaitolikos against 2.33 for Panathinaikos.

Panaitolikos vs Panathinaikos Result & Final Score

Panaitolikos 1-2 Panathinaikos in the Greece - Super League on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Panaitolikos vs Panathinaikos Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Panaitolikos 21%, draw 24%, Panathinaikos 55%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panathinaikos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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