Ekvador (K) 1-2 Şili (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 28 Oct 2024

Ekvador (K)
1-2 HT 1-0
Şili (K)
📅28/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2024

Ekvador (K) vs Şili (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
35%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.9
Over 2.5
37%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.39
2-3 Goals
45%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
3.5
6+ Goals
9%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 29% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
14%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+0.9pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.4pp
35%
Away Win
43%
-7.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
49%
+13.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
51%
-13.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.8pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ekvador (K) v Şili (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ekvador (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Şili (K) EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +44%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +127% / +55%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
312 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
– Crosses 12.8
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Ekvador (K) vs Şili (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ekvador (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Şili (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.70 xG 1.28
43% Ball Possession 57%
18 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
173 Passes 238
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.10.2024 Ekvador (K) Ekvador (K) 1-1 HT 1-1 Şili (K) Şili (K) HAZ

Ekvador (K) 1-2 Şili (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ekvador (K)
1-2
AWAY Şili (K)
2.12 xG 1.70
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
200 Passes 357
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 14
12 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ekvador (K) vs Şili (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Şili (K) nicked a narrow win over Ekvador (K) 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (32% / 33% / 35%) promised a tight game; Şili (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ekvador (K) had 40% of the ball to Şili (K)'s 60%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 2.12 to 1.70 — on chances, Ekvador (K) could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Ekvador (K) vs Şili (K)?

Ekvador (K) 1-2 Şili (K) in the Friendlies on 28/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ekvador (K) vs Şili (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Şili (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Ekvador (K) 32%, draw 33%, Şili (K) 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Şili (K)), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Şili (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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