Guanacasteca 2-0 Municipal Liberia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 28 Oct 2024

📅28/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.15
Over 2.5
46%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
40%
-7.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+3.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
43%
+10.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
57%
-10.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.0pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guanacasteca EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 38%
+7% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.55/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.21
+11% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guanacasteca
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Municipal Liberia
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
15.09.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 0-1 HT 0-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
13.04.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-0 HT 1-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
22.02.2024 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 1-1 HT 1-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
23.11.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 4-2 HT 2-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
16.09.2023 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 0-1 HT 0-1 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
14.03.2021 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 0-0 HT 0-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guanacasteca
2-0
AWAY Municipal Liberia
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Guanacasteca vs Municipal Liberia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guanacasteca beat Municipal Liberia 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; Guanacasteca found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Guanacasteca had 49% of the ball to Municipal Liberia's 51%, shots finished 9-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guanacasteca had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Guanacasteca and 0.67 for Municipal Liberia.

What was the final score of Guanacasteca vs Municipal Liberia?

Guanacasteca 2-0 Municipal Liberia in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 28/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guanacasteca vs Municipal Liberia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Municipal Liberia win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Guanacasteca 33%, draw 29%, Municipal Liberia 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Municipal Liberia), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Municipal Liberia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
28 Oct 2024
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