Southport 2-3 Peterborough Sports — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 28 Oct 2025

📅28/10/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.86
Over
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
31%
3.12
2-3
36%
1.75
4-5
24%
3.42
6+
9%
13.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southport EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Peterborough Sports EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +6%
1.44/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.27
-4% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southport
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Peterborough Sports
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2025 Southport Southport 2-1 HT 2-0 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
01.03.2025 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 1-1 HT 0-0 Southport Southport İCON
10.12.2024 Southport Southport 2-1 HT 0-1 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İNFAT
09.11.2024 Southport Southport 1-2 HT 0-1 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
02.03.2024 Southport Southport 0-0 HT 0-0 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
21.10.2023 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 2-0 HT 0-0 Southport Southport İCON
POST-MATCH Southport vs Peterborough Sports
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterborough Sports edged past Southport 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Southport at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Southport and 1.17 for Peterborough Sports.

What was the final score of Southport vs Peterborough Sports?

Southport 2-3 Peterborough Sports in the England - Conference on 28/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southport vs Peterborough Sports?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southport win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Southport 42%, draw 28%, Peterborough Sports 30%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Southport), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Southport) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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