Peterborough Sports 1-1 Southport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.95
No
60%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.44
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
4.32
6+ Goals
9%
23.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.44 — our 37% vs market 33.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+2.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.4pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterborough Sports EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Southport EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -13%
1.50/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.65
+0% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterborough Sports
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Southport
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.12.2024 Southport Southport 2-1 HT 0-1 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İNFAT
09.11.2024 Southport Southport 1-2 HT 0-1 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
02.03.2024 Southport Southport 0-0 HT 0-0 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
21.10.2023 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 2-0 HT 0-0 Southport Southport İCON
07.01.2023 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 2-1 HT 1-0 Southport Southport İCON
13.08.2022 Southport Southport 0-3 HT 0-2 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peterborough Sports
1-1
AWAY Southport
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Peterborough Sports vs Southport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterborough Sports and Southport couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Peterborough Sports at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Peterborough Sports had 66% of the ball to Southport's 34%, shots finished 14-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peterborough Sports had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Peterborough Sports and 0.67 for Southport.

What was the final score of Peterborough Sports vs Southport?

Peterborough Sports 1-1 Southport in the England - Conference on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterborough Sports vs Southport?

Before kick-off our model rated a Peterborough Sports win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Peterborough Sports 45%, draw 26%, Southport 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Peterborough Sports), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Peterborough Sports) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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