Atletico Tordesillas 1-1 Burgos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 28 Oct 2025

📅28/10/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.09
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
55%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
17%
+8.3pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.1pp
55%
Away Win
59%
-4.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.6pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Tordesillas EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Burgos EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -61%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
268 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Atletico Tordesillas vs Burgos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Tordesillas and Burgos shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Burgos at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Atletico Tordesillas vs Burgos?

Atletico Tordesillas 1-1 Burgos in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 28/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Tordesillas vs Burgos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Burgos win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Atletico Tordesillas 25%, draw 20%, Burgos 55%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Burgos), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Burgos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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