Ourense CF 2-2 Real Oviedo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 28 Oct 2025

📅28/10/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
55%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.75
Over 2.5
58%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+3.7pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.3pp
55%
Away Win
55%
-0.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
53%
-10.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
47%
+10.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.2pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ourense CF EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Oviedo EU Bookmakers 59%
+50% / +50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.61/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.28
+77% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -9%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
204 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 428 · 81%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
11.0 Crosses 33.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ourense CF
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Real Oviedo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
02.02.2014 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 0-1 HT 0-0 Ourense CF Ourense CF İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ourense CF
2-2
AWAY Real Oviedo
45% Ball Possession 55%
24 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
363 Passes 503
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
POST-MATCH Ourense CF vs Real Oviedo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ourense CF and Real Oviedo shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Real Oviedo carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ourense CF had 45% of the ball to Real Oviedo's 55%, shots finished 24-14.

What was the final score of Ourense CF vs Real Oviedo?

Ourense CF 2-2 Real Oviedo in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 28/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ourense CF vs Real Oviedo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Oviedo win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Ourense CF 25%, draw 21%, Real Oviedo 55%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Real Oviedo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Oviedo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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