San Fernando 0-3 Albacete — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 28 Oct 2025

📅28/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.91
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
62%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
21%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
37%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
14%
+5.7pp
18%
Draw
20%
-2.0pp
62%
Away Win
66%
-3.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Fernando EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Albacete EU Bookmakers 70%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/0.58
+3% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +36%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
235 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 442 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Fernando
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Albacete
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
05.03.2022 San Fernando San Fernando 3-3 HT 1-3 Albacete Albacete İS3
30.10.2021 Albacete Albacete 1-0 HT 1-0 San Fernando San Fernando İS3
16.02.2014 Albacete Albacete 0-0 HT 0-0 San Fernando San Fernando İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Fernando
0-3
AWAY Albacete
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH San Fernando vs Albacete
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albacete swept aside San Fernando 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Albacete as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, San Fernando had 46% of the ball to Albacete's 54%, shots finished 8-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Albacete led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for San Fernando and 1.33 for Albacete.

What was the final score of San Fernando vs Albacete?

San Fernando 0-3 Albacete in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 28/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Fernando vs Albacete?

Before kick-off our model rated an Albacete win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split San Fernando 20%, draw 18%, Albacete 62%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Albacete), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Albacete) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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