Constancia vs Girona Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Constancia v Girona — Team-Based Signals
Constancia 2-3 Girona — Actual Match Statistics
Girona nicked a narrow win over Constancia 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Girona as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Constancia had 26% of the ball to Girona's 74%, shots finished 9-24, expected goals 0.32 to 1.77 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Girona's control.
What was the final score of Constancia vs Girona?
Constancia 2-3 Girona in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 28/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Constancia vs Girona?
Before kick-off our model rated an Girona win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Constancia 19%, draw 18%, Girona 64%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Girona), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.