Tropezon 1-3 Cultural Leonesa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 28 Oct 2025

📅28/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
7.18
Draw
19%
4.08
Away Pick
64%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
1.71
Over
57%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.51
No
47%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
40%
4-5
24%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
27%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Cultural Leonesa win — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
17%
Home Win
11%
+5.9pp
18%
Draw
22%
-3.2pp
64%
Away Win
67%
-2.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
55%
-11.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
45%
+11.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
36%
+17.7pp
47%
BTTS No
64%
-17.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tropezon The Market 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Cultural Leonesa The Market 71%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% /
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
190 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tropezon
1-3
AWAY Cultural Leonesa
30% Ball Possession 70%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tropezon vs Cultural Leonesa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cultural Leonesa got the better of Tropezon 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cultural Leonesa as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Tropezon had 30% of the ball to Cultural Leonesa's 70%, shots finished 7-10.

What was the final score of Tropezon vs Cultural Leonesa?

Tropezon 1-3 Cultural Leonesa in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 28/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tropezon vs Cultural Leonesa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cultural Leonesa win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Tropezon 17%, draw 18%, Cultural Leonesa 64%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cultural Leonesa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cultural Leonesa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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