Crotone vs Foggia Calcio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Crotone v Foggia Calcio — Team-Based Signals
Crotone vs Foggia Calcio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Crotone 1-0 Foggia Calcio — Actual Match Statistics
Crotone found just enough to beat Foggia Calcio 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Crotone as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 50% and both teams to score at 52%. At 1.72 (~58%), the over-2.5 price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.
By the numbers, possession split 54% to 46% in Crotone's favour, shots finished 13-8.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crotone had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Crotone against 1.33 for Foggia Calcio.
Crotone vs Foggia Calcio Result & Final Score
Crotone 1-0 Foggia Calcio in the Italy - Pro League Cup on 28/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Crotone vs Foggia Calcio Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Crotone win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Crotone 55%, draw 18%, Foggia Calcio 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crotone) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.