Stade Lavallois 1-1 Le Mans FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 28 Oct 2025

📅28/10/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.6pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.4pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.4pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Lavallois EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Mans FC EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +1%
1.12/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.72/1.77
+2% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 42.3
20.3 Crosses 36.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Lavallois
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Le Mans FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.02.2022 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR3
27.11.2021 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-1 HT 1-1 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FRK
17.09.2021 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 2-1 HT 0-1 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
27.03.2021 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 2-1 HT 1-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
26.10.2020 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR3
29.03.2013 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 2-1 HT 1-1 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Lavallois
1-1
AWAY Le Mans FC
1.59 xG 0.88
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
273 Passes 245
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
11 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Stade Lavallois vs Le Mans FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Lavallois and Le Mans FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Stade Lavallois had 52% of the ball to Le Mans FC's 48%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 1.59 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stade Lavallois had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Stade Lavallois and 1.00 for Le Mans FC.

What was the final score of Stade Lavallois vs Le Mans FC?

Stade Lavallois 1-1 Le Mans FC in the France - Ligue 2 on 28/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Lavallois vs Le Mans FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Le Mans FC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Stade Lavallois 34%, draw 29%, Le Mans FC 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Le Mans FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Le Mans FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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