Troyes 3-1 Amiens SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 28 Oct 2025

📅28/10/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.43
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
16%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
65%
-2.6pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.8pp
16%
Away Win
14%
+1.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Troyes EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Amiens SC EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
1.60/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.62
+16% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +5%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
395 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 78%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
17.6 Crosses 15.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Troyes
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Amiens SC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.08 xG 1.21
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
402 Passes 351
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2025 Troyes Troyes 1-0 HT 0-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
03.01.2025 Amiens SC Amiens SC 0-3 HT 0-2 Troyes Troyes FR2
27.04.2024 Amiens SC Amiens SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Troyes Troyes FR2
05.12.2023 Troyes Troyes 2-0 HT 2-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
20.03.2021 Amiens SC Amiens SC 3-1 HT 1-1 Troyes Troyes FR2
28.11.2020 Troyes Troyes 2-1 HT 2-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Troyes
3-1
AWAY Amiens SC
3.08 xG 0.47
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
404 Passes 311
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
42 Box Touches 8
12 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Troyes vs Amiens SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Troyes saw off Amiens SC 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Troyes as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Troyes had 55% of the ball to Amiens SC's 45%, shots finished 17-4, expected goals 3.08 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Troyes had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Troyes and 0.67 for Amiens SC.

What was the final score of Troyes vs Amiens SC?

Troyes 3-1 Amiens SC in the France - Ligue 2 on 28/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Troyes vs Amiens SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Troyes win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Troyes 63%, draw 21%, Amiens SC 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Troyes) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Troyes) ✗ BTTS No
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