Saint-Etienne 6-0 Pau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 28 Oct 2025

Saint-Etienne
6-0 HT 4-0
Pau
📅28/10/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2025/2026

Saint-Etienne vs Pau Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.33
Over 2.5
57%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.71
2-3 Goals
38%
1.92
4-5 Goals
24%
2.73
6+ Goals
13%
7.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.21
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.1
X/1
22%
4.62
X/2
10%
9.42
X/X
14%
5.94
2/1
6%
20.35
2/2
11%
6.61
2/X
4%
14.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 35.0 — our 6% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.1pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Saint-Etienne v Pau — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saint-Etienne EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Pau EU Bookmakers 26%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +13%
1.60/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.34
+15% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
404 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
19.4 Crosses 17.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5

Saint-Etienne vs Pau Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saint-Etienne
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Pau
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.80 xG 0.77
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
422 Passes 373
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.01.2024 Pau Pau 0-1 HT 0-1 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR2
25.11.2023 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 1-2 HT 1-0 Pau Pau FR2
25.02.2023 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 2-0 HT 1-0 Pau Pau FR2
05.09.2022 Pau Pau 2-2 HT 0-1 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR2

Saint-Etienne 6-0 Pau — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saint-Etienne
6-0
AWAY Pau
4.41 xG 0.92
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
494 Passes 360
90% Pass Accuracy 88%
25 Box Touches 18
6 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Saint-Etienne vs Pau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saint-Etienne swept aside Pau 6-0. Half-time: 4-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Saint-Etienne as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Saint-Etienne had 56% of the ball to Pau's 44%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 4.41 to 0.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Saint-Etienne had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Saint-Etienne and 1.00 for Pau.

What was the final score of Saint-Etienne vs Pau?

Saint-Etienne 6-0 Pau in the France - Ligue 2 on 28/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saint-Etienne vs Pau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saint-Etienne win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Saint-Etienne 50%, draw 23%, Pau 26%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saint-Etienne), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Saint-Etienne) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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