Nancy 2-0 Bastia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 28 Oct 2025

Nancy
2-0 HT 1-0
Bastia
📅28/10/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2025/2026

Nancy vs Bastia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.35
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
4.83
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.52
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
10%
5.02
X/2
15%
6.17
X/X
16%
3.77
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
15%
4.83
2/X
6%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-4.7pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.8pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+6.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.4pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nancy v Bastia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nancy EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Bastia EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -19%
1.04/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.17
-17% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
21.8 Crosses 16.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1

Nancy vs Bastia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nancy
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Bastia
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.01 xG 0.74
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
269 Passes 325
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
11 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.11.2024 Bastia Bastia 2-0 HT 1-0 Nancy Nancy FRK
15.01.2022 Nancy Nancy 2-1 HT 1-0 Bastia Bastia FR2
11.08.2021 Bastia Bastia 1-1 HT 1-0 Nancy Nancy FR2
14.01.2017 Nancy Nancy 1-0 HT 0-0 Bastia Bastia FR1
21.09.2016 Bastia Bastia 0-0 HT 0-0 Nancy Nancy FR1
18.05.2013 Nancy Nancy 1-2 HT 0-0 Bastia Bastia FR1

Nancy 2-0 Bastia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nancy
2-0
AWAY Bastia
0.79 xG 0.32
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
222 Passes 342
68% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nancy vs Bastia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nancy got the better of Bastia 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Nancy made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Nancy had 44% of the ball to Bastia's 56%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 0.79 to 0.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Nancy and 1.00 for Bastia.

What was the final score of Nancy vs Bastia?

Nancy 2-0 Bastia in the France - Ligue 2 on 28/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nancy vs Bastia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bastia win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Nancy 35%, draw 28%, Bastia 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bastia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bastia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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