Club America vs Toluca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Club America v Toluca — Team-Based Signals
Club America vs Toluca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Club America
MEK
2-2
HT 2-1
Club America
MEK
1-1
HT 1-1
Toluca
MEK
2-1
HT 2-0
Club America
MEK
Club America 2-0 Toluca — Actual Match Statistics
Club America beat Toluca 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Club America as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Club America had 34% of the ball to Toluca's 66%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.53 to 0.67.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Toluca led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Club America and 1.83 for Toluca.
What was the final score of Club America vs Toluca?
Club America 2-0 Toluca in the Mexico - Primera on 28/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Club America vs Toluca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Club America 42%, draw 28%, Toluca 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club America), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.