Lokomotiv Moscow 0-1 Dinamo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 28 Nov 2024

Lokomotiv Moscow
0-1 HT 0-0
Dinamo Moscow
📅28/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Russia - Cup – 2024/2025

Lokomotiv Moscow vs Dinamo Moscow Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.16
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
26%
3.1
6+ Goals
13%
9.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.87
1/2
5%
25.5
1/X
8%
12.95
X/1
18%
6.05
X/2
14%
5.47
X/X
11%
5.21
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
28.0
2/2
17%
3.37
2/X
6%
12.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 9% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+2.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.5pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lokomotiv Moscow v Dinamo Moscow — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 43%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
2.46/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.95/2.38
+91% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +109% / -63%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.4

Lokomotiv Moscow vs Dinamo Moscow Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.04 xG 1.86
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
332 Passes 318
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
05.11.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-2 HT 1-1 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUK
27.07.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 3-1 HT 1-1 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
03.03.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 2-1 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
21.10.2023 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 0-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
28.05.2023 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 2-4 HT 1-1 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
22.10.2022 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 1-3 HT 1-1 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS

Lokomotiv Moscow 0-1 Dinamo Moscow — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow
0-1
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Moscow vs Dinamo Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Moscow nicked a narrow win over Lokomotiv Moscow 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Dinamo Moscow found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lokomotiv Moscow had 39% of the ball to Dinamo Moscow's 61%, shots finished 9-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Moscow led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lokomotiv Moscow and 1.83 for Dinamo Moscow.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Moscow vs Dinamo Moscow?

Lokomotiv Moscow 0-1 Dinamo Moscow in the Russia - Cup on 28/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Moscow vs Dinamo Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Moscow 38%, draw 25%, Dinamo Moscow 37%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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