Schalke 04 vs Paderborn Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Schalke 04 v Paderborn — Team-Based Signals
Schalke 04 vs Paderborn Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-0
Schalke 04
AL2
2-0
HT 1-0
Paderborn
AL2
0-1
HT 0-0
Schalke 04
AL2
Schalke 04 2-1 Paderborn — Actual Match Statistics
Schalke 04 edged past Paderborn 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Schalke 04 found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Schalke 04 had 38% of the ball to Paderborn's 62%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.78 to 0.56 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Schalke 04's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Schalke 04 had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Schalke 04 and 1.67 for Paderborn.
What was the final score of Schalke 04 vs Paderborn?
Schalke 04 2-1 Paderborn in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 28/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Schalke 04 vs Paderborn?
Before kick-off our model rated a Schalke 04 win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Schalke 04 36%, draw 28%, Paderborn 36%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.