Fluminense 6-0 Sao Paulo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 28 Nov 2025

📅28/11/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
4.21
6+ Goals
9%
20.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-5.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.2pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fluminense EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Sao Paulo EU Bookmakers 19%
+6% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -9%
1.60/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.57
-5% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -1%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
422 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 78%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
23.9 Crosses 15.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fluminense
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Sao Paulo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.72 xG 1.12
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
414 Passes 348
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.07.2025 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 3-1 HT 1-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
02.09.2024 Fluminense Fluminense 2-0 HT 1-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
14.05.2024 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 2-1 HT 1-1 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
23.11.2023 Fluminense Fluminense 1-0 HT 0-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
01.07.2023 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 1-0 HT 0-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
05.11.2022 Fluminense Fluminense 3-1 HT 0-1 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fluminense
6-0
AWAY Sao Paulo
4.43 xG 0.13
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 5
11 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
495 Passes 358
89% Pass Accuracy 84%
35 Box Touches 12
11 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fluminense vs Sao Paulo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fluminense cruised past Sao Paulo 6-0. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fluminense as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Fluminense had 56% of the ball to Sao Paulo's 44%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 4.43 to 0.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fluminense and 1.17 for Sao Paulo.

What was the final score of Fluminense vs Sao Paulo?

Fluminense 6-0 Sao Paulo in the Brazil - Serie A on 28/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fluminense vs Sao Paulo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fluminense win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Fluminense 54%, draw 24%, Sao Paulo 22%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fluminense), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fluminense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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