Al Kholood 4-3 Al Khaleej — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey, 28 Nov 2025

📅28/11/2025 · 🕒17:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
41%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.86
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
2.99
6+ Goals
11%
9.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-4.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
41%
Away Win
34%
+6.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.0pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Kholood EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Khaleej EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -67%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
305 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 45.0
Crosses 25.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Kholood
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Khaleej
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.46 xG 1.06
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
252 Passes 454
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2025 Al Kholood Al Kholood 2-1 HT 2-1 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
04.10.2024 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Kholood Al Kholood SUUD
14.02.2022 Al Kholood Al Kholood 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD1
06.10.2021 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Kholood Al Kholood SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Kholood
4-3
AWAY Al Khaleej
1.44 xG 0.99
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 5
263 Passes 462
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
21 Box Touches 33
11 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Kholood nicked a narrow win over Al Khaleej 4-3. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Al Khaleej at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Al Kholood had 38% of the ball to Al Khaleej's 62%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.44 to 0.99.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Khaleej led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Al Kholood and 1.00 for Al Khaleej.

What was the final score of Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej?

Al Kholood 4-3 Al Khaleej in the Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey on 28/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Khaleej win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Kholood 35%, draw 24%, Al Khaleej 41%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Khaleej) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Khaleej) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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