Al Ahli Jeddah 3-3 Al-Qadsiah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey, 28 Nov 2025

📅28/11/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.8
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.02
6+ Goals
11%
9.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.2pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Al-Qadsiah EU Bookmakers 30%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
1.70/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/2.76
-4% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -36%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
314 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 80%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
21.0 Crosses 19.1
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Al-Qadsiah
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.18 xG 1.13
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
323 Passes 326
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.11.2025 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 2-1 HT 1-0 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
20.08.2025 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 1-5 HT 1-4 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUSK
25.02.2025 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 4-1 HT 3-0 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
27.09.2024 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
14.05.2021 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-0 HT 0-0 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
08.01.2021 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 3-1 HT 2-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
3-3
AWAY Al-Qadsiah
3.37 xG 2.42
50% Ball Possession 50%
20 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 0
355 Passes 344
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
45 Box Touches 23
31 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Qadsiah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Jeddah and Al-Qadsiah shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Al Ahli Jeddah at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Al Ahli Jeddah had 50% of the ball to Al-Qadsiah's 50%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 3.37 to 2.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli Jeddah had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Al Ahli Jeddah and 1.17 for Al-Qadsiah.

What was the final score of Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Qadsiah?

Al Ahli Jeddah 3-3 Al-Qadsiah in the Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey on 28/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Qadsiah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Jeddah 45%, draw 28%, Al-Qadsiah 27%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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