Banbury United 1-0 St Ives Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 28 Dec 2024

📅28/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
40%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.91
Over 2.5
42%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.68
No
58%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
41%
-7.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
40%
Away Win
33%
+6.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
56%
-13.8pp
58%
BTTS No
44%
+13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banbury United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY St Ives Town EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +3%
1.34/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.72
-14% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
274 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banbury United
1W-0D-2L
AWAY St Ives Town
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
17.08.2024 St Ives Town St Ives Town 2-1 HT 0-0 Banbury United Banbury United İNGNLP
04.12.2021 St Ives Town St Ives Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Banbury United Banbury United İNGNLP
25.09.2021 Banbury United Banbury United 5-1 HT 2-0 St Ives Town St Ives Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Banbury United
1-0
AWAY St Ives Town
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Banbury United vs St Ives Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banbury United nicked a narrow win over St Ives Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Banbury United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Banbury United had 55% of the ball to St Ives Town's 45%, shots finished 6-2.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, St Ives Town led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Banbury United and 1.67 for St Ives Town.

What was the final score of Banbury United vs St Ives Town?

Banbury United 1-0 St Ives Town in the England - Non League Premier on 28/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banbury United vs St Ives Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an St Ives Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Banbury United 33%, draw 27%, St Ives Town 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (St Ives Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St Ives Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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