Ario Eslamshahr 2-0 Shahrdari Astara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 28 Dec 2024

📅28/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.28
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
12%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.81
No
66%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.74
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
3.83
6+ Goals
9%
17.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
74%
-7.2pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.6pp
12%
Away Win
8%
+3.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.5pp
34%
BTTS Yes
32%
+2.9pp
66%
BTTS No
68%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ario Eslamshahr EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Shahrdari Astara EU Bookmakers 11%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -16%
1.00/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.23/1.50
-39% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / -6%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
465 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ario Eslamshahr
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Shahrdari Astara
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
29.11.2023 Ario Eslamshahr Ario Eslamshahr 1-0 HT 0-0 Shahrdari Astara Shahrdari Astara IRANAZ
06.02.2023 Ario Eslamshahr Ario Eslamshahr 2-0 HT 2-0 Shahrdari Astara Shahrdari Astara IRANAZ
13.09.2022 Shahrdari Astara Shahrdari Astara 1-0 HT 0-0 Ario Eslamshahr Ario Eslamshahr IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Ario Eslamshahr vs Shahrdari Astara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ario Eslamshahr beat Shahrdari Astara 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ario Eslamshahr as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (66%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ario Eslamshahr had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ario Eslamshahr and 0.33 for Shahrdari Astara.

What was the final score of Ario Eslamshahr vs Shahrdari Astara?

Ario Eslamshahr 2-0 Shahrdari Astara in the Iran - Azadegan League on 28/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ario Eslamshahr vs Shahrdari Astara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ario Eslamshahr win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Ario Eslamshahr 66%, draw 21%, Shahrdari Astara 12%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ario Eslamshahr), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ario Eslamshahr) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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