Saipa 2-1 Mes Kerman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 28 Dec 2024

Saipa
2-1 HT 0-1
Mes Kerman
📅28/12/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Iran - Azadegan League – 2024/2025

Saipa vs Mes Kerman Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
1.38
Over 2.5
26%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.51
No
68%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
48%
1.85
2-3 Goals
32%
1.8
4-5 Goals
12%
6.58
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 1.85 — our 48% vs market 44.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
20%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-5.2pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.8pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.4pp
74%
Under 2.5
69%
+5.2pp
26%
Over 2.5
31%
-5.2pp
32%
BTTS Yes
36%
-3.2pp
68%
BTTS No
64%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Saipa v Mes Kerman — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saipa EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Mes Kerman EU Bookmakers 23%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +6%
1.33/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.05
+1% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Saipa vs Mes Kerman Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saipa
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Mes Kerman
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
The Meetings
27.02.2024 Saipa Saipa 0-0 HT 0-0 Mes Kerman Mes Kerman IRANAZ
25.09.2023 Mes Kerman Mes Kerman 0-0 HT 0-0 Saipa Saipa IRANAZ
05.03.2022 Mes Kerman Mes Kerman 2-0 HT 1-0 Saipa Saipa IRANAZ
31.10.2021 Saipa Saipa 2-1 HT 1-1 Mes Kerman Mes Kerman IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Saipa vs Mes Kerman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saipa edged past Mes Kerman 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Saipa as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (74%), no to both teams scoring (68%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Saipa and 0.75 for Mes Kerman.

What was the final score of Saipa vs Mes Kerman?

Saipa 2-1 Mes Kerman in the Iran - Azadegan League on 28/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saipa vs Mes Kerman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saipa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Saipa 44%, draw 33%, Mes Kerman 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saipa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Saipa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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