SC Damash Gilanian 0-1 Fajr Sepasi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 28 Dec 2024

📅28/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
5.91
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
55%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.45
Over 2.5
32%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.67
No
67%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
1.99
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
5.79
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
25%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
14%
+1.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
55%
Away Win
58%
-3.6pp
68%
Under 2.5
65%
+3.1pp
32%
Over 2.5
35%
-3.1pp
33%
BTTS Yes
33%
-0.5pp
67%
BTTS No
67%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SC Damash Gilanian EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Fajr Sepasi EU Bookmakers 62%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
0.47/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
-39% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
285 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SC Damash Gilanian
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Fajr Sepasi
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
9 Corners 4
14.02.2024 SC Damash Gilanian SC Damash Gilanian 1-1 HT 0-1 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi IRANAZ
10.09.2023 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi 2-0 HT 1-0 SC Damash Gilanian SC Damash Gilanian IRANAZ
POST-MATCH SC Damash Gilanian vs Fajr Sepasi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fajr Sepasi squeezed past SC Damash Gilanian 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fajr Sepasi as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (67%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fajr Sepasi led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for SC Damash Gilanian and 1.50 for Fajr Sepasi.

What was the final score of SC Damash Gilanian vs Fajr Sepasi?

SC Damash Gilanian 0-1 Fajr Sepasi in the Iran - Azadegan League on 28/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SC Damash Gilanian vs Fajr Sepasi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fajr Sepasi win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split SC Damash Gilanian 16%, draw 29%, Fajr Sepasi 55%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fajr Sepasi), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fajr Sepasi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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