Naft Gachsaran 1-0 Mes Soongoun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 28 Dec 2024

Naft Gachsaran
1-0 HT 0-0
Mes Soongoun
📅28/12/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Iran - Azadegan League – 2024/2025

Naft Gachsaran vs Mes Soongoun Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.96
Draw
40%
2.88
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.36
Over 2.5
40%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.51
No
50%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
1.83
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
6.71
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
47%
-10.2pp
40%
Draw
32%
+8.4pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+1.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
70%
-10.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
30%
+10.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
36%
+14.1pp
50%
BTTS No
64%
-14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Naft Gachsaran v Mes Soongoun — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naft Gachsaran EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Mes Soongoun EU Bookmakers 24%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
0.89/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.45
-25% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
319 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Naft Gachsaran vs Mes Soongoun Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naft Gachsaran
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Mes Soongoun
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
14.11.2023 Mes Soongoun Mes Soongoun 1-1 HT 1-0 Naft Gachsaran IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Naft Gachsaran vs Mes Soongoun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naft Gachsaran nicked a narrow win over Mes Soongoun 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 40% / 23% — and on the day Naft Gachsaran made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

What was the final score of Naft Gachsaran vs Mes Soongoun?

Naft Gachsaran 1-0 Mes Soongoun in the Iran - Azadegan League on 28/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naft Gachsaran vs Mes Soongoun?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Naft Gachsaran 37%, draw 40%, Mes Soongoun 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5
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