Muharraq 2-0 Al Najma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 28 Dec 2025

📅28/12/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.37
Draw
17%
4.49
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.3
2-3 Goals
43%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
2.81
6+ Goals
11%
7.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
68%
-2.3pp
17%
Draw
19%
-1.7pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+4.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.2pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Muharraq EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Najma EU Bookmakers 16%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.01/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.82
+5% / +125% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
317 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Muharraq
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Al Najma
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2025 Muharraq Muharraq 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
26.10.2024 Al Najma Al Najma 0-0 HT 0-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
14.05.2024 Al Najma Al Najma 1-1 HT 0-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
24.12.2023 Muharraq Muharraq 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
26.02.2022 Muharraq Muharraq 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
21.11.2021 Al Najma Al Najma 0-2 HT 0-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
POST-MATCH Muharraq vs Al Najma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muharraq got the better of Al Najma 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Muharraq as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Muharraq had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Muharraq and 0.33 for Al Najma.

What was the final score of Muharraq vs Al Najma?

Muharraq 2-0 Al Najma in the Bahrain - Premier League on 28/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Muharraq vs Al Najma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Muharraq win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Muharraq 66%, draw 17%, Al Najma 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Muharraq) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Muharraq) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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