Al Ahli Manama vs Sitra Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Ahli Manama v Sitra — Team-Based Signals
Al Ahli Manama vs Sitra Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-1
Sitra
BAH
0-0
HT 0-0
Al Ahli Manama
BAH
Al Ahli Manama 1-2 Sitra — Actual Match Statistics
Sitra squeezed past Al Ahli Manama 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Sitra made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Al Ahli Manama had 46% of the ball to Sitra's 54%, shots finished 7-14.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sitra led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Ahli Manama and 1.67 for Sitra.
What was the final score of Al Ahli Manama vs Sitra?
Al Ahli Manama 1-2 Sitra in the Bahrain - Premier League on 28/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Ahli Manama vs Sitra?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli Manama win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Manama 39%, draw 29%, Sitra 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.