Municipal 1-0 Antigua GFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 28 Dec 2025

📅28/12/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.61
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
15%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.67
Over 2.5
53%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.13
No
47%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
35%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
58%
+7.2pp
20%
Draw
25%
-5.5pp
15%
Away Win
17%
-1.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
56%
-9.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
44%
+9.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
43%
+9.9pp
47%
BTTS No
57%
-9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Antigua GFC EU Bookmakers 20%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +37%
1.95/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.50
+9% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / +6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
336 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Antigua GFC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 5
22.12.2025 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 2-0 HT 1-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
23.11.2025 Municipal Municipal 2-1 HT 1-1 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
18.09.2025 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 1-1 HT 1-1 Municipal Municipal GUAT
18.05.2025 Municipal Municipal 1-2 HT 1-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
16.05.2025 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
02.04.2025 Municipal Municipal 1-2 HT 0-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal
1-0
AWAY Antigua GFC
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Municipal vs Antigua GFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal squeezed past Antigua GFC 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Municipal as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Municipal had 61% of the ball to Antigua GFC's 39%, shots finished 20-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Antigua GFC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Municipal and 1.33 for Antigua GFC.

What was the final score of Municipal vs Antigua GFC?

Municipal 1-0 Antigua GFC in the Guatemala - National League on 28/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal vs Antigua GFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Municipal 65%, draw 20%, Antigua GFC 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Municipal) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →