Bucaspor 1928 1-4 Karacabey Belediye Spor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 28 Dec 2025

📅28/12/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
48%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
24%
+1.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
48%
Away Win
50%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bucaspor 1928 EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Karacabey Belediye Spor EU Bookmakers 54%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
0.94/2.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.46/0.78
-11% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +30%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
214 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bucaspor 1928
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Karacabey Belediye Spor
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
02.04.2025 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor 2-1 HT 1-1 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 T2L-K
13.10.2024 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 3-2 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor T2L-K
27.01.2024 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor 1-0 HT 0-0 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 T2L-B
10.09.2023 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 1-0 HT 0-0 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor T2L-K
27.08.2022 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor 0-0 HT 0-0 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 T2L-K
23.10.2021 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 2-3 HT 1-1 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor T2L-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bucaspor 1928
1-4
AWAY Karacabey Belediye Spor
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
11 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bucaspor 1928 vs Karacabey Belediye Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karacabey Belediye Spor cruised past Bucaspor 1928 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Karacabey Belediye Spor as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bucaspor 1928 had 56% of the ball to Karacabey Belediye Spor's 44%, shots finished 15-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karacabey Belediye Spor led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bucaspor 1928 and 1.33 for Karacabey Belediye Spor.

What was the final score of Bucaspor 1928 vs Karacabey Belediye Spor?

Bucaspor 1928 1-4 Karacabey Belediye Spor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 28/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bucaspor 1928 vs Karacabey Belediye Spor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Karacabey Belediye Spor win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Bucaspor 1928 26%, draw 26%, Karacabey Belediye Spor 48%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karacabey Belediye Spor), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Karacabey Belediye Spor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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