Barrow 1-3 Doncaster Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 29 Jan 2025

Barrow
1-3 HT 1-2
Doncaster Rovers
📅29/01/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Barrow vs Doncaster Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.39
2-3 Goals
44%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
4.43
6+ Goals
9%
24.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.85
1/2
11%
31.0
1/X
9%
13.85
X/1
10%
6.27
X/2
10%
4.99
X/X
12%
3.84
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
19%
3.4
2/X
6%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+2.2pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.1pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+1.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.7pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Barrow v Doncaster Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barrow EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 43%
-10% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +35%
1.17/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/0.94
-6% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / +52%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
217 · 63% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 69%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
19.7 Crosses 16.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6

Barrow vs Doncaster Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barrow
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.87 xG 1.26
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
190 Passes 275
66% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.11.2024 Barrow Barrow 0-1 HT 0-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers FAK
01.10.2024 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Barrow Barrow İN2
20.04.2024 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 4-2 HT 0-2 Barrow Barrow İN2
30.09.2023 Barrow Barrow 3-2 HT 1-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
14.02.2023 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 1-0 HT 1-0 Barrow Barrow İN2
13.09.2022 Barrow Barrow 2-0 HT 1-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2

Barrow 1-3 Doncaster Rovers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barrow
1-3
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
0.70 xG 1.51
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 5
229 Passes 268
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 13
29 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Barrow vs Doncaster Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Doncaster Rovers beat Barrow 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Doncaster Rovers as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Barrow had 48% of the ball to Doncaster Rovers's 52%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.70 to 1.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Doncaster Rovers led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Barrow and 1.50 for Doncaster Rovers.

What was the final score of Barrow vs Doncaster Rovers?

Barrow 1-3 Doncaster Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 29/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barrow vs Doncaster Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Doncaster Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Barrow 33%, draw 27%, Doncaster Rovers 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Doncaster Rovers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Doncaster Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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