Barrow 0-1 Doncaster Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.82
2-3 Goals
33%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.13
6+ Goals
10%
19.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 35% vs market 29.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.12
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
10%
14.0
X/1 EV+ ✗
19%
6.65
X/2
17%
4.57
X/X
12%
4.21
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
16%
3.01
2/X
5%
13.55
Value flag · X/1 at 6.65 — our 19% vs market 11.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+4.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.5pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barrow EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 48%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
0.73/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/0.70
-48% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +95%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
263 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 74%
13.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.1 Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barrow
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
0.87 xG 1.26
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
229 Passes 330
66% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2024 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Barrow Barrow İN2
20.04.2024 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 4-2 HT 0-2 Barrow Barrow İN2
30.09.2023 Barrow Barrow 3-2 HT 1-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
14.02.2023 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 1-0 HT 1-0 Barrow Barrow İN2
13.09.2022 Barrow Barrow 2-0 HT 1-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barrow
0-1
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
0 Passes 0
POST-MATCH Barrow vs Doncaster Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Doncaster Rovers edged past Barrow 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Doncaster Rovers made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Barrow had 50% of the ball to Doncaster Rovers's 50%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Doncaster Rovers led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Barrow and 1.60 for Doncaster Rovers.

What was the final score of Barrow vs Doncaster Rovers?

Barrow 0-1 Doncaster Rovers in the England - FA Cup on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barrow vs Doncaster Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Doncaster Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Barrow 34%, draw 27%, Doncaster Rovers 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Doncaster Rovers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Doncaster Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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