Gimnasia La Plata 0-2 San Lorenzo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 29 Jan 2025

Gimnasia La Plata
0-2 HT 0-0
San Lorenzo
📅29/01/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2025

Gimnasia La Plata vs San Lorenzo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
31%
2.77
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.36
Over 2.5
33%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.4
No
63%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
1.79
2-3 Goals
33%
1.82
4-5 Goals
16%
7.01
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.65
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.2
X/1
19%
4.74
X/2
11%
6.17
X/X
16%
3.1
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
17%
5.44
2/X
7%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-2.8pp
31%
Draw
32%
-1.8pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.7pp
67%
Under 2.5
70%
-2.9pp
33%
Over 2.5
30%
+2.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
38%
-0.4pp
63%
BTTS No
62%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gimnasia La Plata v San Lorenzo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia La Plata EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY San Lorenzo EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +12%
1.19/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/0.87
-4% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +42%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
296 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
23.4 Crosses 17.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6

Gimnasia La Plata vs San Lorenzo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia La Plata
3W-0D-3L
AWAY San Lorenzo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.82 xG 1.27
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
270 Passes 300
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.07.2024 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 0-1 HT 0-1 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
11.03.2023 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 4-0 HT 1-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
12.10.2022 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 0-1 HT 0-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
17.02.2022 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 1-0 HT 0-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
20.11.2021 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 0-1 HT 0-1 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
05.01.2021 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 1-2 HT 0-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ

Gimnasia La Plata 0-2 San Lorenzo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnasia La Plata
0-2
AWAY San Lorenzo
0.64 xG 0.80
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 2
221 Passes 150
70% Pass Accuracy 63%
14 Box Touches 10
36 Crosses 16
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gimnasia La Plata vs San Lorenzo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Lorenzo saw off Gimnasia La Plata 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 33%) promised a tight game; San Lorenzo found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Gimnasia La Plata had 58% of the ball to San Lorenzo's 42%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.64 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gimnasia La Plata and 1.17 for San Lorenzo.

What was the final score of Gimnasia La Plata vs San Lorenzo?

Gimnasia La Plata 0-2 San Lorenzo in the Argentina - Premier League on 29/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia La Plata vs San Lorenzo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia La Plata win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia La Plata 36%, draw 31%, San Lorenzo 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gimnasia La Plata) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimnasia La Plata) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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