Rosario Central 2-1 Lanus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 29 Jan 2025

📅29/01/2025 · 🕒01:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.04
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
5.54
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.27
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1
12%
4.72
X/2
9%
6.77
X/X
16%
3.38
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
13%
5.72
2/X
8%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.5pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.4pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.5pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosario Central EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Lanus EU Bookmakers 30%
+7% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
1.37/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.21
+28% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
268 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 71%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
23.0 Crosses 16.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosario Central
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Lanus
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.17 xG 1.55
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
326 Passes 316
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.06.2024 Rosario Central Rosario Central 1-1 HT 0-1 Lanus Lanus ARJ
18.02.2023 Lanus Lanus 3-0 HT 0-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
07.06.2022 Rosario Central Rosario Central 0-0 HT 0-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
21.04.2022 Lanus Lanus 3-1 HT 1-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
05.12.2021 Lanus Lanus 2-2 HT 1-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
09.01.2021 Lanus Lanus 2-0 HT 2-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosario Central
2-1
AWAY Lanus
1.05 xG 0.37
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
185 Passes 233
66% Pass Accuracy 73%
11 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rosario Central vs Lanus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosario Central nicked a narrow win over Lanus 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rosario Central as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rosario Central had 46% of the ball to Lanus's 54%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 1.05 to 0.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lanus led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Rosario Central and 1.83 for Lanus.

What was the final score of Rosario Central vs Lanus?

Rosario Central 2-1 Lanus in the Argentina - Premier League on 29/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosario Central vs Lanus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rosario Central win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Rosario Central 41%, draw 30%, Lanus 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rosario Central) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rosario Central) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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