Velez Sarsfield 0-1 Platense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 29 Jan 2025

📅29/01/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.36
Over 2.5
32%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.53
No
68%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
1.82
2-3 Goals
35%
1.8
4-5 Goals
14%
6.75
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.62
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.95
X/1
18%
3.9
X/2
9%
8.54
X/X
13%
3.37
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
8%
8.35
2/X
9%
18.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-0.9pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.1pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.0pp
68%
Under 2.5
70%
-1.6pp
32%
Over 2.5
30%
+1.6pp
32%
BTTS Yes
36%
-4.0pp
68%
BTTS No
64%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Velez Sarsfield EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Platense EU Bookmakers 23%
+8% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +12%
1.48/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.20
+22% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 69%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
19.6 Crosses 17.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Velez Sarsfield
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Platense
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.81 xG 0.99
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
352 Passes 195
78% Pass Accuracy 66%
17 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.07.2024 Platense Platense 0-2 HT 0-1 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
14.03.2023 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 1-1 HT 1-0 Platense Platense ARJ
13.06.2022 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 0-1 HT 0-0 Platense Platense ARJ
11.12.2021 Platense Platense 3-2 HT 0-0 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Velez Sarsfield
0-1
AWAY Platense
0.75 xG 1.58
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
323 Passes 114
78% Pass Accuracy 51%
21 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Velez Sarsfield vs Platense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Platense squeezed past Velez Sarsfield 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Velez Sarsfield at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (68%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Velez Sarsfield had 66% of the ball to Platense's 34%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.75 to 1.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Platense led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Velez Sarsfield and 1.25 for Platense.

What was the final score of Velez Sarsfield vs Platense?

Velez Sarsfield 0-1 Platense in the Argentina - Premier League on 29/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Velez Sarsfield vs Platense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Velez Sarsfield win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Velez Sarsfield 49%, draw 30%, Platense 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Velez Sarsfield) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Velez Sarsfield) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJ More Argentina - Premier League
29 Jan 2025
01:15 CA Sarmiento vs Godoy Cruz Analysis →
01:15 Rosario Central vs Lanus Analysis →
03:30 Independiente Rivadavia vs Barracas Central Analysis →
23:00 Gimnasia La Plata vs San Lorenzo Analysis →
23:00 Talleres Cordoba vs Independiente Analysis →