Al Rayyan 2-2 Al Gharafa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 29 Jan 2025

📅29/01/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
39%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.96
Over 2.5
64%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.35
No
37%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.55
2-3 Goals
37%
2.13
4-5 Goals
30%
2.36
6+ Goals
13%
4.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.4pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.5pp
39%
Away Win
35%
+4.7pp
36%
Under 2.5
30%
+6.0pp
64%
Over 2.5
70%
-6.0pp
63%
BTTS Yes
70%
-7.5pp
37%
BTTS No
30%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Rayyan EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Gharafa EU Bookmakers 38%
-3% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +16%
1.42/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/0.85
+8% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
335 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.8
11.3 Crosses 18.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Rayyan
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Al Gharafa
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.68 xG 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
377 Passes 263
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.08.2024 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
01.05.2024 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KATVPK
17.03.2024 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
28.10.2023 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 3-4 HT 2-1 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
07.10.2023 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KATYK
08.05.2023 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 4-1 HT 1-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Rayyan
2-2
AWAY Al Gharafa
1.99 xG 0.80
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
266 Passes 309
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 31
17 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Rayyan vs Al Gharafa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Rayyan and Al Gharafa shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 23% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

On the day, Al Rayyan had 48% of the ball to Al Gharafa's 52%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.99 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Rayyan and 1.83 for Al Gharafa.

What was the final score of Al Rayyan vs Al Gharafa?

Al Rayyan 2-2 Al Gharafa in the Qatar League on 29/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Rayyan vs Al Gharafa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Gharafa win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Rayyan 38%, draw 23%, Al Gharafa 39%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Gharafa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Gharafa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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