Chateauroux 1-0 Martigues — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.53
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.54
Over 2.5
36%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.38
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.06
6+ Goals
7%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.05
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
13%
5.31
X/2
8%
5.28
X/X
19%
3.72
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
22%
4.01
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
36%
-5.5pp
33%
Draw
30%
+3.3pp
37%
Away Win
35%
+2.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
61%
+2.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
39%
-2.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.5pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chateauroux EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Martigues EU Bookmakers 38%
-11% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.06/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/0.92
-14% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chateauroux
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Martigues
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2023 Martigues Martigues 1-1 HT 0-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
03.02.2023 Martigues Martigues 1-0 HT 1-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
26.08.2022 Chateauroux Chateauroux 2-2 HT 0-2 Martigues Martigues FR3
12.02.2002 Martigues Martigues 1-0 HT 0-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR2
29.09.2001 Chateauroux Chateauroux 2-3 HT 2-2 Martigues Martigues FR2
29.07.2000 Chateauroux Chateauroux 1-1 HT 0-1 Martigues Martigues FR2
POST-MATCH Chateauroux vs Martigues
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chateauroux edged past Martigues 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (30% / 33% / 37%) promised a tight game; Chateauroux found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Martigues led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chateauroux and 1.50 for Martigues.

What was the final score of Chateauroux vs Martigues?

Chateauroux 1-0 Martigues in the France - National League 1 on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chateauroux vs Martigues?

Before kick-off our model rated an Martigues win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chateauroux 30%, draw 33%, Martigues 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Martigues) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Martigues) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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