Cholet 1-1 Red Star FC 93 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
42%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.8
Over 2.5
39%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.81
No
59%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.1
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
3.77
6+ Goals
8%
16.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 31% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.73
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
7%
14.15
X/1
9%
7.5
X/2
8%
4.36
X/X
14%
4.52
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
28%
2.67
2/X
7%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+3.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
42%
Away Win
47%
-5.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+9.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-9.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.6pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cholet EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Red Star FC 93 EU Bookmakers 51%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +4%
1.03/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/0.87
-14% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +30%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
255 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cholet
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Red Star FC 93
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.10.2023 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 2-0 HT 2-0 Cholet Cholet FR3
12.05.2023 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 1-2 HT 0-1 Cholet Cholet FR3
06.01.2023 Cholet Cholet 1-4 HT 0-2 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FR3
11.03.2022 Cholet Cholet 0-1 HT 0-1 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FR3
01.10.2021 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 4-2 HT 1-1 Cholet Cholet FR3
17.04.2021 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 3-0 HT 2-0 Cholet Cholet FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cholet
1-1
AWAY Red Star FC 93
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Cholet vs Red Star FC 93
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cholet and Red Star FC 93 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Red Star FC 93 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Cholet had 46% of the ball to Red Star FC 93's 54%, shots finished 6-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Red Star FC 93 led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cholet and 2.50 for Red Star FC 93.

What was the final score of Cholet vs Red Star FC 93?

Cholet 1-1 Red Star FC 93 in the France - National League 1 on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cholet vs Red Star FC 93?

Before kick-off our model rated an Red Star FC 93 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cholet 29%, draw 29%, Red Star FC 93 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Red Star FC 93), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Red Star FC 93) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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