Dijon 1-1 Nimes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 29 Mar 2024

Dijon
1-1 HT 1-0
Nimes
📅29/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.68
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.37
6+ Goals
9%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.98
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.75
X/1
12%
4.48
X/2
13%
6.77
X/X
13%
4.08
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
13%
5.35
2/X
7%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.4pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dijon EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Nimes EU Bookmakers 31%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.27/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/2.03
-12% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -35%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
337 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dijon
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Nimes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.14 xG 1.59
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
358 Passes 329
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2023 Nimes Nimes 0-0 HT 0-0 Dijon Dijon FR3
20.05.2023 Nimes Nimes 1-2 HT 1-0 Dijon Dijon FR2
20.08.2022 Dijon Dijon 2-1 HT 1-0 Nimes Nimes FR2
08.01.2022 Dijon Dijon 1-2 HT 0-2 Nimes Nimes FR2
31.07.2021 Nimes Nimes 2-1 HT 1-0 Dijon Dijon FR2
14.02.2021 Dijon Dijon 0-2 HT 0-0 Nimes Nimes FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dijon
1-1
AWAY Nimes
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dijon vs Nimes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dijon and Nimes shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Dijon at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Dijon had 47% of the ball to Nimes's 53%, shots finished 9-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nimes led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dijon and 1.33 for Nimes.

What was the final score of Dijon vs Nimes?

Dijon 1-1 Nimes in the France - National League 1 on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dijon vs Nimes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dijon win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dijon 41%, draw 26%, Nimes 32%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dijon) ✗ BTTS No
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