Le Mans FC 1-0 Epinal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.71
2-3 Goals
36%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.27
6+ Goals
9%
11.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.71 — our 31% vs market 21.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.97
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.1
X/1
19%
3.76
X/2
13%
11.05
X/X
15%
5.63
2/1
7%
22.7
2/2
4%
8.66
2/X
7%
16.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
-8.1pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.7pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.7pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Le Mans FC EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Epinal EU Bookmakers 21%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +9%
2.97/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.42
+63% / +120% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +14%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
381 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Le Mans FC
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Epinal
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
20.10.2023 Epinal Epinal 1-2 HT 0-1 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Le Mans FC
1-0
AWAY Epinal
56% Ball Possession 44%
22 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Le Mans FC vs Epinal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Mans FC nicked a narrow win over Epinal 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Le Mans FC as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Le Mans FC had 56% of the ball to Epinal's 44%, shots finished 22-9.

What was the final score of Le Mans FC vs Epinal?

Le Mans FC 1-0 Epinal in the France - National League 1 on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Le Mans FC vs Epinal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Le Mans FC win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Le Mans FC 52%, draw 27%, Epinal 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Le Mans FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Le Mans FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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