Needham Market 1-2 Buxton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.82
Over
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.08
2-3
43%
1.75
4-5
23%
3.51
6+
10%
14.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Needham Market EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Buxton EU Bookmakers 49%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.22/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.27/1.38
-6% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
265 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Needham Market
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Buxton
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 7.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Buxton Buxton 7-1 HT 6-1 Needham Market Needham Market İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Needham Market
1-2
AWAY Buxton
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Needham Market vs Buxton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buxton nicked a narrow win over Needham Market 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Buxton as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Needham Market had 52% of the ball to Buxton's 48%, shots finished 8-10.

What was the final score of Needham Market vs Buxton?

Needham Market 1-2 Buxton in the England - Conference on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Needham Market vs Buxton?

Before kick-off our model rated an Buxton win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Needham Market 31%, draw 27%, Buxton 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buxton), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Buxton) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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