Buxton vs Needham Market Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Buxton v Needham Market — Team-Based Signals
Buxton 7-1 Needham Market — Actual Match Statistics
Buxton cruised past Needham Market 7-1. Half-time: 6-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Buxton as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Buxton had 55% of the ball to Needham Market's 45%, shots finished 17-4.
What was the final score of Buxton vs Needham Market?
Buxton 7-1 Needham Market in the England - Conference on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Buxton vs Needham Market?
Before kick-off our model rated a Buxton win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Buxton 44%, draw 26%, Needham Market 30%. The final score 7-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buxton) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.