Exeter City 0-2 Wrexham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
44%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.42
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.51
6+ Goals
8%
24.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
7.12
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
6%
16.65
X/1
9%
8.16
X/2
20%
4.16
X/X
17%
4.23
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
17%
2.58
2/X
6%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+3.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
44%
Away Win
50%
-5.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.9pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Exeter City EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Wrexham EU Bookmakers 54%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.96/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/0.72
-8% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +26%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
237 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 74%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
20.1 Crosses 22.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Exeter City
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Wrexham
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.83 xG 2.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
413 Passes 348
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 32
23 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.11.2024 Wrexham Wrexham 3-0 HT 2-0 Exeter City Exeter City İN1
04.03.2003 Exeter City Exeter City 1-0 HT 0-0 Wrexham Wrexham İN2
17.09.2002 Wrexham Wrexham 4-0 HT 2-0 Exeter City Exeter City İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Exeter City
0-2
AWAY Wrexham
0.48 xG 1.76
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
286 Passes 255
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 22
27 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Exeter City vs Wrexham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wrexham beat Exeter City 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Wrexham as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Exeter City had 53% of the ball to Wrexham's 47%, shots finished 7-8, expected goals 0.48 to 1.76.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Wrexham led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Exeter City and 2.33 for Wrexham.

What was the final score of Exeter City vs Wrexham?

Exeter City 0-2 Wrexham in the England - 1st Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Exeter City vs Wrexham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wrexham win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Exeter City 27%, draw 28%, Wrexham 44%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wrexham), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wrexham) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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